Investigating Coastal Backwater Effects and Flooding in the Coastal Zone Using a Global River Transport Model on an Unstructured Mesh
Coastal backwater effects are caused by the downstream water level increase as a result of elevated sea levels, high river discharge, and their compounding influence. Such effects have crucial impacts on floods in densely populated regions but have not been well understood nor represented in large-scale river models. In this work, researchers simulate the backwater effects comprehensively using the river component of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM). The results show the critical influence of extreme discharge and highlight the increasing strength of backwater effects due to sea level rise and more frequent storm surges during 1990–2019.
Coastal backwater effects are created by elevated sea levels that can cause upstream propagation of coastal processes. Such effects have a key influence on floodplain storage, river discharge and the biogeochemistry and geomorphology at the river-ocean interface. This study simulates the backwater effects in two Mid-Atlantic watersheds. The results reveal the critical impacts of storm surges and extreme river discharge. The backwaters will likely increase the coastal flood risks due to sea level rise and more frequent storm surges and need to be properly represented in ESMs to improve the predictive understanding of coastal flooding.
Coastal backwaters are created by elevated sea levels that can cause upstream propagation of flood waves and the attenuation of the spatial and temporal water stage fluctuations. Such effects have crucial impacts on coastal and fluvial flooding but have not been well represented in large-scale river models used in Earth system models (ESMs), partly due to model mesh deficiency and oversimplifications of river hydrodynamics. Using two mid-Atlantic river basins as a testbed, we perform the first attempt to simulate the backwater effects over a coastal region using the river transport model under E3SM configured on a regionally refined unstructured mesh, with a focus on understanding the backwater drivers and their long-term variations. The model performance in capturing backwaters is greatly improved by including sea level variations at the river downstream boundary. The results show that the influence of extreme discharge cannot be neglected, particularly when the river drains to a narrow river-like estuary. The backwater effects show an increasing strength due to sea level rise and more frequent storm surges during the past 40 years and have to be properly represented in ESMs to improve the predictive understanding of coastal flooding.