Skip to main content
U.S. flag

An official website of the United States government

Publication Date
19 July 2024

Residential energy demand, emissions, and expenditures at regional and income-decile level for alternative futures

Authors

Author

Income and its distribution profile are important determinants of residential energy demand and carry direct implications for human well-being and climate. We explore the sensitivity of residential energy systems to income growth and distribution across shared socioeconomic pathway-representative concentration pathways scenarios using a global, integrated, multisector dynamics model, Global Change Analysis Model, which tracks national/regional household energy services and fuel choice by income decile. Nation/region energy use patterns across deciles tend to converge over time with aggregate income growth, as higher-income consumers approach satiation levels in floorspace and energy services. However, in some regions, existing within-region inequalities in energy consumption persist over time due to slow income growth in lower income groups. Due to continued differences in fuel types, lower income groups will have higher exposure to household air pollution, despite lower contributions to greenhouse gas emissions. We also find that the share of income dedicated to energy is higher for lower deciles, with strong regional differences.

Sampedro, Jon, Stephanie T Waldhoff, James A Edmonds, Gokul Iyer, Siwa Msangi, Kanishka B Narayan, Pralit Patel, and Marshall Wise. 2024. “Residential Energy Demand, Emissions, And Expenditures At Regional And Income-Decile Level For Alternative Futures”. Environmental Research Letters 19 (8). IOP Publishing: 084031. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ad6015.
Funding Program Area(s)