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Emerging ML solutions to advance the monitoring and modeling of global wetland CH4 emission

Presentation Date
Friday, December 13, 2024 at 9:30am - Friday, December 13, 2024 at 9:40am
Location
Convention Center - 151 A
Authors

Author

Abstract

Wetlands are the largest natural source of atmospheric methane (CH4), accounting for approximately 30% of total surface CH4 emissions. Recent evaluations, including those by the Global Carbon Project (GCP), underscore their significant role in the global CH4 budget, though with substantial uncertainty. The discrepancy among bottom-up estimates—derived from various modeling approaches—remains considerable, hindering accurate spatiotemporal understanding and monitoring of wetland CH4 emissions. In this talk, I first synthesize recent advancements in bottom-up modeling of global wetland CH4 emissions, encompassing a range of methodologies from process-based modeling to data-driven machine learning. Despite progress, significant uncertainties persist, particularly in major tropical and arctic wetland complexes. Additionally, I introduce emerging hybrid solutions that combine state-of-the-art machine learning architectures, process-based models, physical knowledge, and the growing surface measurements of CH4 fluxes to address the substantial uncertainty in global wetland CH4 emission estimates.

Category
Biogeosciences
Funding Program Area(s)